Predicting AXL Tyrosine Kinase Inhibitor Potency Using Machine Learning with Interpretable Insights for Cancer Drug Discovery

Authors

  • Teuku Rizky Noviandy Department of Information Systems, Faculty of Engineering, Universitas Abulyatama, Aceh Besar 23372, Indonesia
  • Ghifari Maulana Idroes Department of Nuclear Engineering and Engineering Physics, Universitas Gadjah Mada, Yogyakarta 55281, Indonesia
  • Essy Harnelly Department of Biology, Faculty of Mathematics and Natural Sciences, Universitas Syiah Kuala, Banda Aceh 23111, Indonesia
  • Irma Sari Department of Pharmacy, Faculty of Mathematics and Natural Sciences, Universitas Syiah Kuala, Banda Aceh 23111, Indonesia
  • Fazlin Mohd Fauzi Faculty of Pharmacy, Universiti Teknologi MARA Selangor, Puncak Alam Campus, 42 300 Bandar Puncak Alam, Selangor, Malaysia
  • Rinaldi Idroes Department of Pharmacy, Faculty of Mathematics and Natural Sciences, Universitas Syiah Kuala, Banda Aceh 23111, Indonesia; School of Mathematics and Applied Sciences, Universitas Syiah Kuala, Banda Aceh 23111, Indonesia

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.60084/hjas.v3i1.270

Keywords:

AXL tyrosine kinase, Machine learning, Drug discovery, SHAP analysis, Cancer therapeutics

Abstract

AXL tyrosine kinase plays a critical role in cancer progression, metastasis, and therapy resistance, making it a promising target for therapeutic intervention. However, traditional drug discovery methods for developing AXL inhibitors are resource-intensive, time-consuming, and often fail to provide detailed insights into molecular determinants of potency. To address this gap, we applied machine learning techniques, including Random Forest, Gradient Boosting, Support Vector Regression, and Decision Tree models, to predict the potency (pIC50) of AXL inhibitors using a dataset of 972 compounds with 550 molecular descriptors. Our results demonstrate that the Random Forest model outperformed others with an R² of 0.703, MAE of 0.553, RMSE of 0.720, and PCC of 0.841, showcasing strong predictive accuracy. SHAP analysis identified critical molecular features, such as RNCG and TopoPSA(NO), as key contributors to inhibitor potency, providing interpretable insights into structure-activity relationships. These findings highlight the potential of machine learning to accelerate the identification and optimization of AXL inhibitors, bridging the gap between computational predictions and rational drug design and paving the way for effective cancer therapeutics.

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Published

2025-03-15

How to Cite

Noviandy, T. R., Idroes, G. M., Harnelly, E., Sari, I., Fauzi, F. M. and Idroes, R. (2025) “Predicting AXL Tyrosine Kinase Inhibitor Potency Using Machine Learning with Interpretable Insights for Cancer Drug Discovery”, Heca Journal of Applied Sciences, 3(1), pp. 17–29. doi: 10.60084/hjas.v3i1.270.

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